@Article{SilvaRiBrSoLoMi:2018:CoExHy,
author = "Silva, Yuri B. da Silva e and Ribeiro, Bruno R. and Brum, Fernanda
Thiesen and Soares Filho, Britaldo and Loyola, Rafael and
Michalski, Fernanda",
affiliation = "{Universidade Federal do Amap{\'a} (UFAP)} and {Universidade
Federal de Goi{\'a}s (UFG)} and {Universidade Federal de
Goi{\'a}s (UFG)} and {Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and
{Universidade Federal do Amap{\'a} (UFAP)}",
title = "Combined exposure to hydroelectric expansion, climate change and
forest loss jeopardies amphibians in the Brazilian Amazon",
journal = "Diversity and Distributions",
year = "2018",
volume = "24",
number = "8",
pages = "1072--1082",
month = "Aug.",
keywords = "conservation science, distribution range, extinction risk, habitat
loss, land cover, range shift.",
abstract = "Aim: Human-driven impacts constantly threat amphibians, even in
largely protected regions such as the Amazon. The Brazilian Amazon
is home to a great diversity of amphibians, several of them
currently threatened with extinction. We investigated how climate
change, deforestation and establishment of hydroelectric dams
could affect the geographic distribution of Amazonian amphibians
by 2030 and midcentury. Location: The Brazilian Amazon. Methods:
We overlapped the geographic distribution of 255 species with the
location of hydroelectric dams, models of deforestation and
climate change scenarios for the future. Results: We found that
nearly 67% of all species and 54% of species with high degree of
endemism within the Legal Brazilian Amazon would lose habitats due
to the hydroelectric overlapping. In addition, deforestation is
also a potential threat to amphibians, but had a smaller impact
compared to the likely changes in climate. The largest potential
range loss would be caused by the likely increase in temperature.
We found that five amphibian families would have at least half of
the species with over 50% of potential distribution range within
the Legal Brazilian Amazon limits threatened by climate change
between 2030 and 2050. Main conclusions: Amphibians in the Amazon
are highly vulnerable to climate change, which may cause, directly
or indirectly, deleterious biological changes for the group. Under
modelled scenarios, the Brazilian Government needs to plan for the
development of the Amazon prioritizing landscape changes of low
environmental impact and economic development to ensure that such
changes do not cause major impacts on amphibian species while
reducing the emission of greenhouse gases.",
doi = "10.1111/ddi.12745",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12745",
issn = "1366-9516",
language = "en",
targetfile = "silva_combined.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}